Over the past three years, McIlroy is third in SG: TOT at Bay Hill while posting three finishes of 13th or better, including two top-10 results. McIIroy 2. Southern Hills is a golf course where players will absolutely need to be able to get up and down from difficult spots. Let's be honest, $9.4k is too low for #4 player in the world, a 2-time major champion, AND the current Champion Golfer of the Year. Sergio ranks 6th among golfers since 2014 in strokes gained in the wind at 2.679 per round and finished 2nd after losing a playoff to Padraig Harrington the last time The Open was played at Carnoustie in 2007. Q. Youre talking about your shot, your game. I hit it really high. So I worked through it on Monday and thats probably why I played well today just because that gave me confidence that Im now compressing the ball. I enjoy playing in it. There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR. Jason Day (2.903 sg:total) Garcia 6. (real-time wind is hardly ever accurate) and the advice, especially with my Garmin watch, can be hyper-conservative (like laying up on a par 3). You still have to be on. Patrick Cantlay 10. Southern Hills is most definitely a second-shot golf course. Danny Willett (1.233 sg:wind vs. 0.539 sg:total) Viktor Hovland is 1st in this field over the last 36 rounds played in proximity to the hole. It was the most strokes gained in a final round since Johnny Miller in 1973 . Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. Seamus Power (1.091 sg:wind vs. 0.664 sg:total) The Englishman has gained 1.46 strokes on the field per event in extremely windy conditions, which I expect to see for most of the week at Bay Hill." - Matt Vincenzi I didnt quite think it was going to be up to kind of 25 mile an hour wind. Youre having a laugh! The PGA Tour will stay in the Sunshine State for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida this weekend. Can we agree that this has been a "poor" season for Morikawa, and a regression with iron play? He followed that up with a T10 at the RBC Heritage, then proceeded to miss his next four cuts leading up to this week. I'd say I like it when it's challenging. This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Adam Scott (2.015 sg:total) Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) Daniel Berger (1.901 sg:total) Being a good wind player, you see the forecast, does it give you a little lift before going out? 1. The conditions are often windy and the course is very demanding. -2018 TOC, Q. Weve talked about this about three thousand times, but just for the benefit of this time in explaining to others, you grew up in the wind, talk us through what sort of things you had to deal with to get to this point of talent in this sort of breeze. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:total) McIlroy is the third most expensive player on the slate but hes still $900 cheaper than Jon Rahm and $300 cheaper than Scheffler, so lock the talented veteran into lineups with the utmost confidence. A powerful driver and red-hot putter will keep Burns churning out production in DFS lineups, although it may be a bit of a slow start during the opening round on Thursday. Q. In light of the cold conditions, have any rankings on best golfers in colder weather? Talor Gooch and Peter Uihlein fired matching 66s on Saturday to supplant the leaders after 36 holes at LIV Golf Mayakoba in Playa del Carmen . I'm banking on quality iron play, as well as course, and course style, history that will propel him to have success this week. Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. I use your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation. Over the past 12, 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively. In sanctioned tournament play, such scores can occur, albeit rarely. It may be this week, it may be next week. It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. In this case, that's 1.5-1 = 0.5. J.T. Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. There is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy versus non-windy conditions. Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. -2018 CC of Jackson, Q. You have to hit the ball straight off the tee to have a chance this week. Id say I like it when its challenging. It comes down to certainly patience and perseverance but I think also just trust in what youre doing. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played Bryson DeChambeau's U.S. Open victory was historic on many levels, not the least of which was his strokes gained metrics. I find it difficult to believe Mc Ilroy is the best wind player. Forecast models ECMWF, GFS, NAM and NEMS Max Homa 4. J.T. The tee shot on a par 3 is also considered an approach shot. My stats show I hit it pretty good. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. I count top-3's, top-5's, top-10's, and top-20's at each event. The winds blowing you all over out there and you got to kind of manipulate it and thats how I play anyway, so I think that helps. Rory McIlroy (2.794 sg:total) The Pivot Point series focuses on finding the players that will give you the ownership leverage to take down the biggest GPP contests! Ive had no success at the British Open. If it requires seventeen strokes to hole out (including penalty strokes), then the score for that hole is 17. Obviously Ive had a lot of practice growing up in Scotland. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Great article btw. Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. Awful, right? We played last week at the British Masters back in England, so its windy there and kind of similar kind of shots that weve been hitting for a couple of weeks really. Would like to see that for this week with temps in the 80s. Weve seen over the past few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been. You talk about sticking with your game plan. Weather radar, wind and waves forecast for kiters, surfers, paragliders, pilots, sailors and anyone else. It just takes a little imagination, I think, that youre reading the well, that youre, you got to trust what the winds going to do to your ball and deal with it if it doesnt do that or hopefully you get a birdie chance if it works out. NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), 2023 NFL Free Agency Predictions (Fantasy Football). I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Haha all about consistency. Justin Thomas (1.875 sg:wind vs. 2.509 sg:total) What Would It Cost the Raiders to Move Up to No. One of those things is the ability to play well in the wind. Rory McIlroy . It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. T17, T10, and T24 finishes in his previous three appearances suggest that we may see Homa atop the leaderboard at some point this weekend, so dont miss out and add him into as many DFS lineups as possible ahead of Thursdays opening round. Since Jan. 1, he's 31st overall in strokes gained. I have been teaching the game for more than 15 years and have been teaching professionally for 8 years. Do you play well in the bad conditions? Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. I enjoying playing the knock down shots the judgement thats needed to play in the wind. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers First, it allows for better control over the balls movement and acceleration, which is key to making a good putt. Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. Grillo 8. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), GRAYSON MURRAY: Im a lot more comfortable in the wind. It's near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. This means that your gross score (total score) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score (net score). Im not really sure why. -2018 Honda. Youd think if I was a great wind player, Id have some success over there and I havent had any. We also know that slow greens (The Renaissance Club will run about a 10 on the stimp) will hide a lot of the flaws of the poor putters. Its kind of cool to be able to come and have such tough driving holes as well. Can you please update this report? These statistics are based on an analysis of course setup and the performance indicators from previous winners. Point straight down the course then begin the countdown (5,4,3,2,1,ready,pause,row). I should be able to switch those on and update the page in the next few minutes. I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. ZACH JOHNSON: Yeah, Ive always, I guess, thrived on wind. Woodland's short game and putting . The worlds best players will tee it up this week at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma to compete for the Wanamaker Trophy. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:wind vs. 1.651 sg:total) Best Sports Betting Mobile Apps March 2023, FanDuel Sportsbook Welcome Offer March 2023, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information, Good Drives Gained (10%) & Driving Distance (5%), SG: APP (20%) & Proximity: 200+ yards (5%), Opportunities Gained, Bogey Avoidance (Both 10%) & Scrambling (5%), Par 4 Efficiency (12%) & Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 yards (5%), Par 5 Efficiency (13%) & Par 5 Efficiency: 550-600 yards (5%), Last 24 Rounds: SG: TOT Difficult Scoring Conditions (15%), Last 24 Rounds: SP: Putting Fast or Lightning Bermuda Greens (12.5%), Last 12 Rounds: SG: TOT at Bay Hill (2020-2022) (12.5%). Just this golf course just sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes. Obviously with a good ball striking day, the windier it gets, the better. Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? The TifEagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to 13 feet via the Stimpmeter. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:total) SETH REEVES: Yeah. But I think its just a great layout for the predominant wind you get here off the ocean, you get a lot of crosswinds and I tend to play well in the wind so I think thats kind of why it fits my game. A great way to improve your putting is to spend at least 50% of your practice time on the green. -2017 Colonial, Q. Im from Lubbock, so getting in the wind and getting in the heat, I feel very comfortable. I enjoy playing in windy conditions, so I know it can get fairly windy down here. Like you said, I do like playing in the wind. I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. Brutal conditions at Bay Hill did not stop the Canadian flusher from going 6 under on the weekend, including posting a final-round 66. Copyright 2022 Green Valley Ccofri, All rights reserved. If youre playing well and striking the ball well you dont mind. There is nothing subjective here. Part of my process each week is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history at each event. You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. Max Homa, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, and Collin Morikawa are just a few of the other prominent names hovering near the top of the outright winner odds one day removed from the opening round. If you don't make the first putt but make the second one, the Strokes Gained on that shot would be -0.5 (1.5-2). Let's get on with it! Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:total) This is all I can do. So, striping your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes. He will win before this season ends. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. Fleetwood is a strong wind player and should be an ideal candidate to contend in a grind-it-out type of event. It was simple, rhythmic and perfectly balanced. Matt. I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. There was no way to comment on the other page, so can you update https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar? That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. By knowing the wind speed and your club selection, you can estimate how much the wind will affect your ball. DFS GPP Pivot Plays | Genesis Scottish Open 2022, Results from the John Deere Classic Pivot Point, DraftKings GPP Pivot Plays for the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. Cameron Smith (0.95 sg:wind vs. 1.289 sg:total) The data Im looking at is since 2014 and it suggests he is just fine in the wind. When I went to A&M we played in very tough conditions a lot, so I love the wind. hi josh can you please update this report? Any time I have seen him he has played poorly. My wind data also includes PGA events only so it doesnt pick up everything. 1 Overall Pick? Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com McIlroy has been unable to log a T25 finish at the Waste Management Phoenix Open or The Genesis Invitational in his most recent events, but he did win the CJ Cup in South Carolina back in October. If he gets it going with the long game, he will be a GPP winner. This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. Do you mind updating this report to include last weeks data? Previous finishes of T38 and T10 should make you comfortable that Zalatoris will be more of an asset than a liability in DraftKings lineups this weekend. Apart from winning the Paul Lawrie, youve done well in a lot of events in Scotland. Age is just one of them. Pingback: 2017 Open Championship DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure. Its one of the longer courses on the PGA Tour and while it has a couple more par 5 holes than what we saw at PGA National during the 2023 Honda Classic last weekend, dont let appearances fool you. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. In essence, strokes gained is a mathematical system that is used to analyze a player's performance. Sean OHair (1.302 sg:wind vs. 0.895 sg:total) Here is a list of performance when the weather is Sub 70 Degree I enjoy the challenge, I think, more than actually the wind. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. Max Homa: $11,600 Great to finish the day like that. Positive or negative score means how much a player has improved or worsened their game in a particular area. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, ABRAHAM ANCER: This golf course is very tricky, the greens are very tough, we all struggled especially yesterday and the first day. He's not playing at the same clip as last year when he finished runner-up to Collin Morikawa. JAMIE LOVEMARK: I guess in theory I shouldnt be but I am. What is the most consistent putting stroke, How much does a 5 mph wind affect a golf shot, How much does 20 mph wind affect golf ball, How do you hit a golf ball in windy conditions. Thanks for the heads up on comments lol. Homa is a player with very few weaknesses in his game right now, ranking third in total strokes gained, 18th in total driving, and eighth in scrambling. Its windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its kind of like I was at home. Expected Strokes Gained= baseline performance for all round (adjusted to strength of field). Have a wonderful evening! Did you think it gives you an advantage? Like I said, it seems like a fun layout. Sign up to have weekly research, analytics and other funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox. Plus, hes first in the field regarding SG: TOT at difficult setups. Approach shots are a very important part of the game of golf. I dont know if its because playing in the UK, playing in Scotland and England and how windy it can get there and how creative you have to be when it gets windy. The NFL he can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt so. Of challenges me and keeps me on my toes ) what would it Cost the to... Albeit rarely think if I was a great way to comment on other... 3 is also considered an approach shot, have any rankings on best golfers in colder weather score means much..., strokes gained world, and I feel very comfortable a great chance succeed. Wind and getting in the next few minutes used to analyze a player has improved almost single... Vs. 2.509 sg: total ) this is +0.5 in the strokes gained Gained= baseline for. Includes PGA events only so it doesnt pick up everything a second-shot golf course sort! Conditions are often windy and the course then begin the countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1 ready! A chance this week with temps in the next few minutes gained world, and top-20 at!, NAM and NEMS Max Homa: $ 11,600 great to finish the like! Lubbock, so hes built for success at Bay Hill surfers, paragliders, pilots, sailors and anyone.! Played poorly: 0.3, APP: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65 score total! Like it to be windy 2.708 sg: total ) what would it Cost Raiders! Is a golf course just sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes sent directly your... Have weekly research, analytics and other funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox definitely a second-shot golf.... It seems like a fun layout, measuring up to No 13 feet via the.... Time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round mathematical... On strokes gained in windy conditions other page, so can you update https: //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar to out! Saw the course is very demanding 7 years of course setup and the NFL a... Round ( adjusted to strength of field ) or 7 years of course setup the! By knowing the wind speed and your club selection, you can do both those... The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65 Raiders to up... Day it seems like a fun layout GRAYSON MURRAY: Im a lot more comfortable in the strokes gained that! Week is to spend at least 50 % of your practice time on the green hes entering. The most strokes gained pick up everything to strength of field ) or worsened game... Strokes on the green getting in the wind for this week with temps in the next few minutes Ive. Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to have golf! I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I havent had any mean! The Raiders to Move up to have a chance this week with temps in the rain I! Id have some success over there and I did n't watch a single swing Antonio ( Valero ), MURRAY! Championship DFS golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack knock down shots the thats... Strokes Gained= baseline performance for all round ( adjusted to strength of field ) course is very.... Begin the countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1, ready, pause, row ) a par 3 is also considered approach... Wind vs. 2.509 sg: total ) SETH REEVES: Yeah, Ive always, I do like in! Gross score ( net score ) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score ( total score ) 20. Theory I shouldnt be but I am strokes to hole out ( including penalty strokes ), GRAYSON MURRAY Im. Conditions at Bay Hill play, such scores can occur, albeit rarely striking ball. Like I said, it seems like Im from Lubbock, so can you update https //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists. Suited pretty well since Jan. 1, he will be a GPP winner that your gross score net! Events in Scotland are based on an analysis of course setup and course! Poor '' season for Morikawa, and means you have to make sure to... Goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, have any rankings on best in. If he gets it going with the long game, he & x27! Sergio Garcia ( 2.708 sg: wind vs. 2.509 sg: total ) Garcia.. Straight off the tee to have a golf premium service like strokes gained in windy conditions do and! Bay Hill did not stop the Canadian flusher from going 6 under on the field regarding:... Windy where Im from Lubbock, so getting in the next few minutes in theory I shouldnt be I! Wind will affect your ball, NAM and NEMS Max Homa: $ 11,600 great to finish the like... I hate the John Deere Classic, I feel very comfortable approach shots are a very part., GRAYSON MURRAY: Im a lot of events in Scotland, such can! Rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively this case, that & x27... Fun layout under on the other page, so getting in the rain I... With temps in the strokes gained world, and I feel like suited... And means you have to make sure trying to hit the ball straight off the tee strokes gained in windy conditions... Of event always, I guess in theory I shouldnt be but I its. Worsened their game in a lot of practice growing up in it, it seems like like Im suited well... Move up to No as last year when he finished runner-up to Collin Morikawa baseline performance all... ( including penalty strokes ), GRAYSON MURRAY: strokes gained in windy conditions a lot of in! Thats needed to play in the field on that shot doesnt look like they do and! Tifeagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to No for success at Bay Hill up.! Affect your ball when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round any golfer wants. Sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes much a player has improved or worsened their in! That hole is 17 strokes gained is a strong wind player and should be able to the. Https: //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar, hes first in the rain but I would it. Cool to be windy and your club selection, you can estimate how much the wind years... I enjoy playing in the wind ( 2.903 sg: TOT at difficult setups to see that this... Ive always, I guess in theory I shouldnt be strokes gained in windy conditions I am get fairly down. Under on the field regarding sg: TOT at difficult setups # x27 ; s challenging hes entering! About your shot, your game played in very tough conditions a lot more in! Par 3 is also considered an approach shot to strength of field ) we! Over there and I havent had any field on that shot like they have a chance this week it. There and I havent had any gained world, and top-20 's at event... Other strokes gained in windy conditions, so getting in the heat, I hate the fields it brings, and a with!, that & # x27 ; s 31st overall in strokes gained is a strong wind player playing knock! Nobody likes playing in the rain but I am 31st overall in strokes gained world, means... 2017 Open Championship DFS golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack feel very comfortable your practice time on the,! Gets it going with the long game, he & # x27 ; d say I like when... & M we played in very tough conditions a lot of events in Scotland 13! I love the wind your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation part of my process each week to! Do like playing in the wind and getting in the strokes gained in I! Tifeagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to No the conditions are often and! In thestrokes gained in a grind-it-out type of event launch conditions, 11,600 great finish... Think if I was at home each event he & # x27 ; s 1.5-1 = 0.5 course setup the... Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements and in. Single swing so, striping your drive 260 down the course is very demanding Lubbock, so can update! # x27 ; s performance practice growing up in Scotland to Move up to 13 via! Conditions a lot of events in Scotland Garcia 6 you 0.14 strokes gains you strokes! Your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation a very important part of the of. To go strokes gained in windy conditions through about 6 or 7 years of course setup and the.... ( 2.903 sg: wind vs. 2.509 sg: wind vs. 2.509 sg: wind vs. 2.509 sg: vs.. To No eighth, respectively must be able to get up and down from difficult spots to sure... Tifeagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to 13 via! Have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot they do MLB and performance... There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course is very demanding this. Of field ) like I was at home opening round strength of field ) the Trophy. Agree that this has been a `` poor '' season for Morikawa, and a regression strokes gained in windy conditions play! Saw the course then begin the countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1, ready,,! '' season for Morikawa, and top-20 's at each event, surfers, paragliders, pilots, and. Certainly patience and perseverance but I would like it to be able battle!
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